Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036027 0.041750 0.048096 0.055658 0.064427 0.074281 0.086201
2026-01-04 0.027156 0.034670 0.043846 0.055883 0.071281 0.090346 0.115796
2026-01-11 0.021840 0.030026 0.040783 0.055977 0.076934 0.104895 0.145168
2026-01-18 0.018500 0.027024 0.038922 0.056778 0.082981 0.120163 0.177189
2026-01-25 0.016252 0.025013 0.037893 0.058264 0.089804 0.137009 0.213463
2026-02-01 0.013737 0.022140 0.035073 0.056499 0.091285 0.145866 0.238651
2026-02-08 0.012038 0.020233 0.033384 0.056111 0.094644 0.157772 0.269946
2026-02-15 0.010621 0.018554 0.031785 0.055557 0.097510 0.169035 0.301451
2026-02-22 0.009690 0.017550 0.031139 0.056466 0.102871 0.185007 0.343045
2026-03-01 0.008714 0.016326 0.029936 0.056186 0.106007 0.197344 0.379568
2026-03-08 0.007708 0.014908 0.028196 0.054663 0.106591 0.204999 0.408163
2026-03-15 0.006832 0.013618 0.026525 0.053033 0.106708 0.211685 0.435593
2026-03-22 0.006354 0.013055 0.026194 0.054026 0.112204 0.229673 0.488625
2026-03-29 0.005845 0.012366 0.025533 0.054269 0.116219 0.245221 0.538831
2026-04-05 0.005379 0.011708 0.024848 0.054366 0.119917 0.260539 0.590619
2026-04-12 0.005027 0.011243 0.024507 0.055144 0.125169 0.279784 0.653745
2026-04-19 0.004763 0.010940 0.024472 0.056587 0.132070 0.303480 0.730330
2026-04-26 0.004284 0.010088 0.023127 0.054874 0.131492 0.310163 0.767566
2026-05-03 0.003953 0.009538 0.022396 0.054497 0.134008 0.324318 0.824918
2026-05-10 0.003644 0.009004 0.021638 0.053960 0.136056 0.337587 0.881865
2026-05-17 0.003452 0.008731 0.021468 0.054842 0.141738 0.360434 0.966631
2026-05-24 0.003210 0.008303 0.020871 0.054570 0.144439 0.376121 1.034653
2026-05-31 0.002926 0.007734 0.019856 0.053092 0.143791 0.383099 1.080005